Dicewars vs US electoral map
I think I'm not really entirely awake today.
I was just looking at the electoral map at the top right of fivethirtyeight, and thought to myself: Hmm, it looks like blue is solidly established in the northeast; on their next turn, they should attack West Virginia from Pennsylvania, and then move into Kentucky. . . .
And then realized that the US election is not in fact a game of Dicewars.